SARA FADES
STALLED OVER CENTRAL AMERICA, THE THREAT OF FLASH FLOODS AND GENERAL FLOODING REMAINS
STALLED OVER CENTRAL AMERICA, THE THREAT OF FLASH FLOODS AND GENERAL FLOODING REMAINS
KEY MESSAGES:
1. Across Belize, El Salvador, eastern Guatemala, western
Nicaragua, and the Mexican State of Quintana Roo, areas of heavy rainfall will continue to cause significant and life-threatening flash flooding and mudslides as Sara moves further inland.
2. The heavy rainfall from Tropical Depression Sara is winding down across northern Honduras, however the risk of catastrophic flooding impacts will continue.
There is a terrific visual article in the Washington Post about the massive destruction of forests by hurricane Helene as it moved through the area west of Asheville, N.C. I have seen no equal to this coverage which increases the view, expresed on this website, that the hurricae was more like an earthquake or a combination of events than an ordinary hurricane.
Wind
speeds are higher in such a storm the higher you go, so the mountain top regions were hit with greater force, taking down whole forests.. The Blue Ridge Parkway, a major natural resource in the east and a true wonder of natural beauty, appears to have been damaged severely. It will take many years for the trees and forests to recover, as one resident of the area expressed, perhaps not within her lifetime.
Here is a link to the Post article. It is not a free, open link (I will try to post such a link early this coming week with the Post's permission) but if you have a particular interest in this area and haven't seen it for yourself, it is worth signing up at least for a short term subscription.
Alerts in time can save lives, yours, your family and in your community
The Washington Post has an extensive report on how residents of Valiencia, Spain, were not given adequate warning about the approach of flooding despite weather forecasters knowing well in advance that disaster was possible. Here's a free, open link to the Post story.
IF YOU HAVE ANY LEFTOVER MASKS FROM THE PANDEMIC OR CAN GET ANY OTHER MASKS, PUT THEM ON WHILE WORKING CLEAN UP! Don't try to show how brave you are or just to show your dedication. Dirt, mud, chemical pollutants and everything else is floating around in the area as you clean. You will breathe these particles right in while you work. Ordinary masks might not protect you much but they are better than nothing. "Breather masks" with a filter on the front would likely be better but don't wait for them to be brought in. Protect yourself as best you can with whatever is available. Also, if you have clean water available, clean out your nostrils after mucking out, after washing your hands, of course. There will likely be an accumulation of dirt and pollutants there. Wash them by putting water on your fingers and your fingers in your nose. Rising out the mouth, too.
NOTE: THIS IS NOT MEDICAL ADVICE. It is simply practical action to take based on the personal experience of the editor of ERN News in disaster situations.
The British Broadcasting Corporation (BBC) has some of the best close-up views of damage from Milton at the link below:
https://bbc.com/news/videos/cwy9251pg82o
This drone video actually allows you to see some of the most serious damage from the storm with titles showing the location.
MOST PEOPLE don't know how to use drones best and, for that matter, 90+% don't know how to use a video camera (hint: hold STILL on the moving subject you want to show, don't just pan back and forth trying to show "everything" in one shot.)
Drones fly and they move but that doesn't mean they should move constantly. They should be stopped to reveal the visual information not just be constantly moving just because they can move.
WE DON'T post constantly here following major storms because there is so much other coverage available that anyone can see it quite easily, as long as you have access to cable, satellite or, in the impacted region, over the air television. If we see something that is more revealing than the average video or newspaper coverage, we share it, otherwise we hold back. We have purchased freelance video in the past but in the future we will have our own video crews on the scene, as we have done in the past from time to time.
I have been in and through a lot of hurricanes and seen the damage they can cause up close but I have never seen anything like western North Carolina where so many major portions of roads are simply gone, washed away. Interstate 40 normally carries a heavy load of local and other traffic heading to and from Tennessee. Major chunks of the highway are impassable, with the land that the road had been passing over, are gone. I-26 is also not functional. In addition, there are dozens of small roads with bridges out and, in the backwoods mountain areas, dirt and rock roads that are washed away or covered in landslides in various places.
People are not going to be able to get to jobs, groceries and medical appointments, in addition to problems with schooling for children. In short, everything people need to do.This is a compound, evolving set of problems. FEMA is not equipped to address this load of disaster. In addition to everything else, it is likely going to take some sort of federal effort to get money into the hands of those who can't work and earn a living, just like what happened nationally during the worst of the pandemic. One can only hope it doesn't take months for officials in Washington, DC, and the state capital to realize the sheer depth of the disaster. Doug Terry
Free, open link. No sub required. We offer these links as a public service.
FROM THE WASHINGTON POST IN REGARD TO CLAIMS/FLOOD INSURANCE:
Jeff Jackson, the interim senior executive of the National Flood Insurance Program, said in a statement, “Flood risk is under appreciated across the nation — even in flood prone areas. That’s a challenge we continue to face and will continue to work on as we remain committed to closing the flood insurance gap across the nation.”
“Right now, it’s important that survivors of Helene file their flood and or homeowners’ insurance claims immediately,” Jackson added. “I urge those who are uninsured to register for FEMA disaster assistance now.”
ERN NEWS COMMENT: We have heard in the past that getting any assistance from FEMA is a long, drawn out pain so filing NOW means at least people will get started on the process that might take one or two years to complete. Some of the assistance available is in the form of loans, not grants.
AGAIN, from the Washington Post:
Samantha Montano, a professor of emergency management at Massachusetts Maritime Academy, says that survivors must navigate a web of complicated red tape to even get that amount of funding (a thousand dollars). Some disaster victims will submit five or six appeals after being denied the first time. “People will describe it as the second disaster, just because of how difficult it is to navigate,” she said. FEMA has attempted major reforms under Biden. You can get details at this link: https://www.fema.gov/assistance/individual/2024-reform
Note: It has been reported that the processes of FEMA in the past have been so difficult and complex that people who work at the agency resign in total frustration with the system. They say they just can't take it anymore.
HERE'S A LINK TO THE CHARLESTON, SC, POST AND COURIER ABOUT THE IMPACT ACROSS WESTERN SOUTH CAROLINA. A GOOD, DETAILED, VIVID STORY: https://shorturl.at/juJQp
An earlier report:
The full scope of the disaster from Helene is all but impossible to adequately describe and challenges the largest, best equipped news organizations to cover it. The story, in reality, is many stories scattered across Florida, Georgia, North Carolina, South Carolina and Tennessee. While the damage from the high winds on the Big Bend of Florida was a central part of the event, the massive flooding in North Carolina alone is staggering.
It is far beyond the resources of ERN NEWS to bring the intimate details to readers, which is why we have refrained from frequent posting once Helene moved inland. The NY Times and the Washington Post, as news organizations with a national focus, have done an excellent job of collecting and relaying information. Yet, this is an event that is impossible to fully comprehend because it is so widespread and the impact varies from place to place. What is becoming clear is that Hurricane Helene represents an historic level of damage and death comparable to any of the worst storms to ever hit the American mainland.
One point is clear: people in the inland path of Helene either did not get enough warning about what was coming or failed to respond adequately in time. It might be a combination of both factors. New, better systems of spreading information need to be established, ones that take into account not just the predicted rain expected but include upstream monitoring of the rise of creeks and rivers. We can do better and we must in the future to prevent the loss of life involved in this storm system, having claimed around 100 or more lives, as of the latest count.
Below is a link to the NY Times and their survey of the death and damage from Helene
ERN NEWS and our associated non-profit, the Emergency Response Network, will be involved moving forward in helping to implement better advanced warning systems and other actions developing as a result of this disaster. We will post information here in the coming weeks and months. Please come back soon.
EVEN BEFORE most of the rain from Helene reached western North Carolina, there was serious flooding. In short, it should have been widely known that a disaster was pending in Asheville and surrounding mountain towns. The Post and Courier newspaper posted a link to video on FB. "The morning of Sept. 26, Chimney Rock Brewing Co. posted a video"
Keep in mind, this was before the major storm even arrived. NOTE: The entire building in this video was later swept away by the flooding and, according to reports, most the buildings on the river side of the road in the community of Chimney Rock, NC, were swept away. About half of the local post office was crushed in the landslide.
DRONE VIDEO FROM ASHEVILLE, NC
As expected when the Category Five was forecast only a few hours before it hit, the Mexican city of tourism and high rise hotels has been knocked out of commission by Hurricane Otis. Only today, Thursday, did the picture of the full extent of the massive damage begin to emerge. The various news reports say that 27 people died but given the photos and video coming out of Acapluco, it is easy to understand that the totals might be three times, even four times, that number.
A Category five hitting directly on a city of 850 thousand to nearly one million residents was, indeed, a nightmare scenario, as the Hurricane Center described late Tuesday. There just wasn't time enough, with current systems, to warn people and there was absolutely no window of opportunity for any sort of mass evacuations.
This storm points to the probablity of a new era in hurricane tracking and forecasting. It is virtually unheard of for a storm to go from below hurricane level to Cat. Five in a matter of hours, as this one did.
Here are some elements that will have to be addressed in the coming months:
1. Is there are flaw in the forecasting system or are storms with extremely rapid intensification to be normal in the future?
2. How can we make for better warning systems that are active, not passive, in getting messages to residents about to be hit with such a storm? We need the means to push emergency notifications to the public and the capacity to issue detailed advisories, something the Hurricane Center is reluctant or unable to do.
3. How can governments and NGOs, be better equipped for rapid aid to supply water, food and communications to impacted areas?
4. For the government of Mexico, what are residents supposed to do when the city they live in has become uninhabitable to a major degree?
There are many more questions seeking answers that need to be answered as this hurricane season moves toward the conclusion at the end of November.
FROM THE LA TIMES:
ACAPULCO, Mexico —
At least 27 people were killed and others remained missing a day after Mexico’s strongest hurricane in memory slammed into the resort city of Acapulco, ravaging homes, hotels and hospitals and submerging entire neighborhoods in debris-strewn floodwaters.
Hurricane Otis made landfall as a Category 5 storm early Wednesday morning, lashing this city of nearly 1 million with 165-mph winds.
The fast-moving storm weakened as it headed inland but left a trail of devastation, with roofs and facades ripped from shopping centers and roads blocked by mangled metal, uprooted trees and boats tossed from the sea.
State officials said 80% of the city’s hotels suffered damage. Many worried that the city’s poorest communities, where many live in shacks constructed of cinder block and tin, may have fared much worse.
Authorities said they had been forced to evacuate 200 patients from a damaged hospital and said the city’s hard-hit airport would remain closed until further notice.
On Thursday, the clouds had cleared and the sun had emerged, but survivors were growing increasingly panicked, with many leaving severely damaged homes to seek food and water and desperately search for missing loved ones.
Efrén Garcia, a 61-year-old from the working-class beachside community of Barra Vieja, had traveled miles to seek food from a shopping center in the upscale Punta Diamante neighborhood.
The storm, Garcia said, had been “two hours of hell.”
“It was the most terrible thing I ever lived through,” he said. “It was two hours of fear and panic. Everything was flying. I saw entire trees flying, and the tin roofs of houses flying off.”
“It was a nightmare,” Garcia said. “I give thanks to God that I’m alive.”
Here's a link to the FULL LA Times story about the disaster:
BELOW is a link to a NY Times story about the desperate times right now in Acapulco. This link should be OPEN, no sub required.
A science writer for the NY Times, David Wallace-Wells, looked at the Acapulco disaster and what it means for the future. An open link to the full article is below. This is an OPINION article, meaning the writer is permitted to express his personal views, unlike ordinary reporting.
As of last Monday night in Acapulco, Mexico, no formal hurricane warning had been issued for what would become, barely a day later, the first Category 5 storm ever to make landfall on the Pacific Coast of North or South America.
Forecasts from 36 hours before landfall had projected maximum winds of 60 miles per hour. Sixteen hours before landfall, the National Hurricane Center still forecast only a Category 1 hurricane. Within hours, what had been a quotidian tropical storm grew into a record-breaking, city-splintering Category 5 monster. The wind reached 165 miles per hour, more than 100 miles per hour greater than had been forecast around bedtime on Monday. Dozens died. **
The resort city, home to one million people, was left “in ruins”: the electricity cut out, as did water and internet service. The damage was almost certain to make the storm the most expensive one in Mexican history. “In all of Acapulco there is not a standing pole,” President Andrés Manuel López Obrador of Mexico said on Thursday. One station registered wind above 200 miles per hour; the local forest was so thoroughly cleared of branches and leaves that satellite images flipped from green to brown.
Some large high-rises had been ripped apart, others made skeletal; you could see clear through the building frames, an empty stack of boxes open to the winds. A day or two before, people living in those apartments might not have even heard about the storm.
The damage is, if spectacular, also tragically familiar. But the out-of-nowhere arrival is profoundly new. Hurricane Otis had the second-most drastic intensification of any storm on record in the eastern Pacific. The most dramatic one intensified much farther from shore, and did not make landfall as a Category 5.(The link below is intended to be a free, open link, no sub required)
**ERN News advised evacuating the city several hours before land fall for those able to get out and also advised those in high rise buildings of the dangers on the upper floors.
Copyright © 2024 Hurricane tracking and response - All Rights Reserved.
PRESENTED AS A PUBLIC SERVICE
We use cookies to analyze website traffic and optimize your website experience. By accepting our use of cookies, your data will be aggregated with all other user data.